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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    jätkusuutlik praegune elektrooniline raha kui tal puudub reaalne kate Teatavasti on 95 maailma rahast liikumas virtuaalsel kujul Kriisi süvenemisel on kaks võimalust Esiteks pankade poolt välja antud laenud ei jõua panka tagasi ja pangad võivad pankrotistuda Teiseks hoiustajad soovivad oma raha välja võtta ja pangad jooksevad rahast tühjaks Suure tõenäosusega võivad mõlemad stsenaariumid realiseeruda üheaegselt Praegu säilib töötukassas olev raha ainult stabiilse majandusolukorra korral Juhul kui maailma rahandussüsteem läheb kaosesse ei pruugi ekspertide Howard Ruff Jeremy Rifkin jt hinnangul elektrooniline raha säilida Kaosesse mineku võimalusi on mitmeid Alates sellest et häkkerid murravad lahti pankade pea ja abiserverid ning kustutavad või moonutavad osa informatsioonist lõpetades USA kongressile saadetud ettekandes mainitud võimalusega mis seisnes terroristide poolt tuumapommi hankimises ja selle lõhkamises USA atmosfääris Teatavasti kaasneb tuumaplahvatusega elektro magnetimpulss mis lööb rivist välja kõik töötavad arvuti kiibid Ma ei arva et need stsenaariumid kindlasti realiseeruvad kuid ajalugu on näidanud et iga 30 40 aastat tagant on toimunud maailma rahanduses suuri muutusi mille tulemusena senised säästud suuremas osas kaotavad oma väärtuse Viimane suur kriis oli 1971 kui USA loobus oma dollareid kullaks vahetamast ja mindi esmakordselt raha 2600aastase ajaloo jooksul üle süsteemile kus raha ei ole tagatud ei hõbeda kulla ega millegi muuga Sellest hetkest on raha ainult usaldusel põhinev paber Samalaadseid katsetusi on tehtud ka varem enne Prantsuse revolutsiooni 1920 ndate Saksamaal jne ning need kõik on lõppenud rahasüsteemide kokkukukkumisega sest võimalus paberraha piiramatult juurde produtseerida on tekitanud petliku tunde lõputust rikkusest Eriti kiiresti on rahasüsteemid kollapseerunud peale sõdasid sest riigid ei suuda katta sõjakulusid oma maksumaksjate arvelt selle maksavad kinni kõik riigi elanikud läbi kasvava inflatsiooni Ei ole vist vaja lisada et ka praegu peetakse Iraagis sõda mille ülalpidamine maksab ligi miljard dollarit päevas Suure tõenäosusega ületab edaspidine inflatsioon tunduvalt kõikide keskmiste fondide tootlusi Seoses eelpool tooduga ja vajadusega töötukassa raha kindlasti

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=118 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    my words of advice are for the long term only In the short term gold and silver can do anything go anywhere In the last bull market of the 70s 80s gold went from 120 to 850 but there were discouraging retreats of as much as 30 several times along the way It was attacked by speculators central banks and even Uncle Sam through Jimmy Carter But gold and silver prevailed even though chickens bailed out from time to time I was new to the advice business back then and even I got scared out once for a little while Actually this is déjà vu all over again as said the master of malapropism Yogi Berra It s an eerie repeat of the 1970s only more so All the same factors that drove that historic 1970s bull market are back only a lot more so an explosion of money creation by the Federal Reserve that is so great they have even stopped publishing a monthly report on M 3 the most trustworthy measure of changes in the money supply I guess they no longer know or don t want you to know the embarrassing numbers Actually it s worse than that Did you know that the phrase printing press no longer means much when it comes to money Actually less than five percent of the money is actually minted printed or coined The rest of it is in cyberspace created at the Federal Reserve or by commercial banks The amount is beyond comprehension This process is called monetary inflation and that is what ultimately drives price inflation and drives gold and silver The more money is created the higher go the precious metals Also they react to the prospect of war or actual war itself and America has never been

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=115 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    ounce on March 17 Since then the metal has lost around 15 percent However inflationary pressures highlighted recently by the U S Federal Reserve and European Central Bank will aid gold We re headed for inflationary times and gold has always been a safe asset to protect your wealth against inflation With oil prices at a record high above 135 per barrel and food prices surging to their peaks fears of inflation is haunting investors more than ever U S Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said on Monday the latest surge in energy prices is adding to the dangers from inflation but the central bank would strongly resist rising inflationary expectations His strong tone convinced more investors that rate hikes could come this year and triggered a rally in the dollar which took the steam out of gold as the two tend to move in opposite directions Some fund managers still betting on a weak dollar say there could be further fallouts from the credit crisis which would make investors rush back to gold We might have aftershocks or maybe another major 8 0 Richter scale kind of event lies ahead and that s the sort of thing that tends to make people nervous said John Hathaway senior managing director of Tocqueville Asset Management Hathaway said gold serves as an alternative financial asset particularly when markets worry about banking issues or currencies I think we will see gold going above those record high levels again and that will probably be this year MOMENTUM However some analysts disagree citing poor physical demand weaker gold dehedging and possible strengthening of the dollar in the longer term Anecdotal evidence in the current quarter so far suggests that the decline in demand has continued said metals analyst Stephen Briggs at Societe Generale The Indian

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=112 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    gold continues to climb the classic wall of worry as any dip in its otherwise upward trajectory causes the speculative investors to jump ship And that typically turns out to be a big mistake Take Friday s trading action for example Gold for August delivery jumped 23 50 an ounce to close at 899 on the New York Mercantile Exchange NMX the yellow metal s strongest close since May 28 That means the price of gold was up 2 7 for the day Gold s ascent from less than 300 an ounce to its current level was and is being driven by those who prefer the yellow metal as a store of value over the paper alternatives offered by governments As the U S Federal Reserve s dollar debasement policy kicks into high gear and other central banks around the world are forced to follow suit to maintain their pegs against the dollar the rational choice for long term investors is gold Thus the decision to buy is not rooted in fear but rather in reason On the other hand the decision not to buy is not only rooted in fear but in ignorance as well Jumbo Shrimp and Government Accounting Those oblivious to gold s warnings instead place their trust in government supplied statistics Based simply on flimsy consumer price index CPI reports these observers believe that inflation is nowhere in evidence and that the flight to gold is therefore unwarranted The government s recent gross domestic product GDP report provides the latest illustration of this dynamic Federal number crunches were able to present an annualized first quarter growth rate of 0 9 based on an assumed annualized rate of inflation of only 2 6 In other words inflation in the first quarter of 2008 was the lowest for

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=102 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    arrived agreed Professor Ferguson stepping out of the lecture hall and into his gypsy fortune teller s painted caravan True total blackout is still some way off he forecast in his 2001 book and gold has a future of course but mainly as jewellery All the evidence he gathered together at the turn of this century pointed to the creeping demonetization of gold First the international Gold Standard had collapsed at the start of World War One after dominating global finance for barely 13 years The Gold Exchange system of world currencies that followed it seemed only to spread and deepen the Great Depression In turn it collapsed too on the eve of World War II The United States then ceased paying gold in exchange for US Dollars in 1971 finally destroying the post war Bretton Woods settlement and severing all links between the world s most important currency and the barbarous relic of gold Funnily enough the end of gold s convertibility into Dollars sparked a 24 fold spike in its Dollar price by the start of 1980 But the surge in Gold Prices that occurred during the 1970s was historically anomalous said Ferguson as the 20th century drew to a close reflecting a sudden increase in demand for gold and the rapid depreciation of most Western currencies relative to oil and other commodities The historical anomaly of 850 gold lasted just one day in fact 21st Jan 1980 and from then on gold s role as a monetary asset sank almost as fast as its price By the end of 1999 the Gold Price was languishing at a 20 year low Then the British government founder and guardian of the international Gold Standard a century before picked its moment to sell half of its national gold reserves swapping the metal for Dollars Euros and Yen to keep in the Bank of England s vaults At the very same time the Swiss National Bank last of the world s central banks to abandon the Gold Standard in the 1930s sold half of its gold reserves too The sale required a change to the Swiss constitution and that required a national referendum of the Swiss people plus a re writing of Switzerland s currency statutes But the central banks of Argentina Austria Australia Belgium Canada Luxembourg the Czech Republic and India were already selling gold by this point So what had the Swiss people to fear What comfort were they hoping to take from gold bullion anyway The changes were ratified the legal link between gold and the Swiss Franc was severed at last and the SNB began the sale of 1 300 tonnes of gold in a five year program From the point of view of investors in the West where the possibility or at least the memory of financial catastrophe has receded the twilight of gold makes some sense Ferguson went on As an investment gold has signally under performed stocks and government bonds in the United States

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=103 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    a welcome correction rather than the prelude to a meltdown top foreign investors said on Friday as one of the country s leading bank cut its 2008 growth forecasts Gross domestic product GDP growth slowed to 3 6 percent year on year in the first quarter from 8 percent in the previous three months The impact on Latvia of global economies woes will be felt but it is regarded as a healthy correction said Guenther Dunkel deputy head of Norwegian German bank joint venture DNB Nord and chairman of Latvia s foreign investors council The last time I was here in Riga I said the party was over and it was over and it is back to hard work Latvian Prime Minister Ivars Godmanis said he agreed with the foreign investors view and noted that the government on Monday would look at various tax changes to boost the economy such as removing tax on re invested company profits He also said the slowdown would cause the government to take a look at the 2008 budget in September for amendments He said the government could make up a shortfall in revenues by re adjusting flows of EU aid or cutting state

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=101 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    should be at 1 000 or 1 200 That s the magic relationship between the two Editor s Note Gold investors have made a killing in the past few years and gold s meteoric rise is hardly over Money Morning contributing editor Martin Hutchinson has predicted the precious metal could climb as high as 1 500 in the near future For additional profit plays on gold as well as oil the U S dollar sovereign wealth funds emerging markets agriculture uranium biotech and much more check out Money Morning s just published global investing guide The Essential Investors Playbook It s Money Morning s first foray into the investment book market but we re certain you ll find it worthwhile Asian Wealth Naturally as per capita wealth increases in such emerging markets as China India and Latin America demand for American goods will soar That holds true both for American brands as well as for so called lifestyle goods products that foreign consumers identify as being part and parcel of the American way of life Jewelry gold gems other precious metals all will benefit from the growing ability of the newly forming middle classes to spend on wares that aren t just necessities That s different from past bull markets for gold which were solely inflation driven that is investors who were seeking to hedge their bets against rising prices caused gold prices to skyrocket To be sure inflation has been a big factor this time around Gold prices usually move in the opposite direction of the U S dollar With the dollar weak and interest rates low an up tick in inflation could send gold prices higher But for gold prices to really zoom consumer demand will have to act as an adjunct to inflation And rising demand from increasingly wealthy consumers in China and India may be just the ticket Now that the Internet and satellite TV have allowed these aspiring consumers to see what kinds of wares U S consumers regularly have this new group of Asian consumers also want their own houses cars appliances cell phones computers and jewelry They are willing to work to get it And they are all too happy to pay the rising asking price The upshot The wealthier this new group of consumers becomes the more they ll envy these goods and the higher the price tags on those products will climb This new source of demand could potentially blunt gold s run toward 1 500 Naturally demand drives up prices And recently steep prices are to blame for the 11 decline in gold sales during the Hindu holiday of Akshaya Tritiya where long term investments such as gold silver and real estate are religiously merited as purveyors of prosperity Like Christmas Hindus are constantly reminded of Akshaya Tritiya by a bevy of special sales and advertisements from jewelers and real estate companies This is important to note because Hindus were curbing the religious tradition of buying gold which sheds light

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=100 (2016-02-13)
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  • Valuutavahetus, Investeerimiskuld - Tavid Kuld & Valuuta
    analüüsis kulda kui investeeringut Oma esinemises vastab Petrov muuhulgas järgmistele küsimustele Miks kulla hind hakkas peale suurt tõusu langema Miks keskpangad ei soovi kulla hinna tõusu Kas IMFi kulla müümise uudis mõjutab turgu Miks ei ole kullaaktsiad võrdväärsed füüsilise kullaga Kui pikalt võib praegune kulla hinna tõus jätkuda Kuhu võib kulla hind praeguse kriisi käigus tõusta Teine esineja oli ajaloolane Jaak Valge kes rääkis teemal Majanduskriis kui demokraatia hauakaevaja Krassimir

    Original URL path: http://www.tavid.ee/?main=11&newsID=97 (2016-02-13)
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